2026 World Cup Odds: Where Does USA Stand After Winning Group D?

The United States is through to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 following its 2-0 win over Australia at Seattle Stadium on Friday.

With that, coupled with Türkiye's loss to Paraguay, the USA clinched the top spot in Group D.

The United States winning Group D marks just the third time in history that the Americans have finished atop their group at a men's World Cup.

The U.S. previously accomplished the feat in 1930, finishing ahead of Paraguay and Belgium, and again in 2010, when it barely edged England for first place because of goals scored.

With the win, the U.S. will face the third-place team from either Group B, E, F, I or J in its Round of 32 matchup.

That game will be played at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 1.

If the USA continues to advance, it will play the Round of 16 at Seattle Stadium, the quarterfinals at Los Angeles Stadium, the semifinals at Dallas Stadium and a potential final at New York New Jersey stadium.

Before the tournament began, the U.S. was +5500 to win the World Cup.

Now, after its dream start, its odds have surged to +3300.

So when will the USA lose? Or, especially after its group stage dominance so far, will it even lose at all? Let’s take a look at the updated odds for the United States’ stage of elimination at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 20.

Team USA, Stage of elimination odds Last 32: +170 (bet $10 to win $27 total)Last 16: +200 (bet $10 to win $29 total)Quarterfinals: +270 (bet $10 to win $37 total)Semifinals: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)Runner-up: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)Outright winner: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total) This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.

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After USA's opening wins against Paraguay and Australia, the oddsboard still projects the Americans to fall in the first knockout-stage game.

The second result on the oddsboard is the "Last 16," meaning the USA would make it out of the group stage and win one knockout stage game, before falling in the second knockout stage game.

How would that result stack up against previous results? Well, at the 2022 World Cup, Team USA made it to the Round of 16, which was viewed as a stellar accomplishment.

In 2018, the USA did not qualify for the World Cup, and in 2014 and 2010, the Americans also made it to the Round of 16.

Their best result this century occurred in 2002, when the Americans made it all the way to the quarterfinals before being eliminated.

In 1998, the USA lost in the group stage, in 1994, it fell in the Round of 16, and in 1990, it also fell in the group stage.